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AI Economics, How fast strong AI gets cheaper
Half price every 10 weeks

The cheapest model scoring 70% on GPQA Diamond cost $26.25 per 1M tokens in Dec 2024 and $0.03 on 2026-10-25: ×888 less, or half the price every 10 weeks.

First and latest day of the series "cheapest blended price among models with an Epoch AI GPQA Diamond score of 0.70 or more". Halving time: days between them ÷ log2(first ÷ latest).

Source: Epoch AI, OpenRouter, LiteLLM price map. As of 2026-10-25. Based on 125 data points.

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The price of a hard-science pass mark

Cheapest blended price, per 1M tokens
What does a model that passes GPQA Diamond cost?$0.01$1.00$10.00$100.00Jun 2024Apr 2025Jan 2026Oct 2026$0.03$0.028
  • 50% on GPQA Diamond
  • 70% on GPQA Diamond
Log scale: each gridline is a multiple of the one below.
Cheapest model at or above each GPQA Diamond score (Epoch AI). Blended: three input tokens per output token.
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Quality data: LMArena (CC BY 4.0), Epoch AI (CC BY 4.0). Prices: OpenRouter, LiteLLM (MIT), provider pages. List prices in US dollars before discounts and taxes; other currencies converted at the European Central Bank reference rate. The figures on these pages are free to reuse under CC BY 4.0 with a link to this page.